Match Dinamo Zagreb vs Celta Vigo November 6, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 06 Nov · 17:45
0:3
Full-time
Stadion Maksimir · Zagreb
Referee Anastasios Papapetrou, Greece
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 31% · book 2.79
✗
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 27% · book 3.58
✗
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 42% · book 2.65
✓
xG (open play)
0.70 – 1.44
Δ −0.74
AI accuracy
9 / 20
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Away Win at 2.65 — +10.0% better than the market.
At Maksimir, Dinamo’s home rhythm and recent momentum should keep them competitive, but Celta travel in strong form and press well through midfield. Expect long spells of measured control with the visitors slightly sharper in transitions. A contained scoreline is plausible unless an early goal flips the script; lean X2 or cautious totals with a small edge toward the away side.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 2.65
✓ Cashed
AI 42%
Implied 38%
+1.65u
⛀ Lineups
ZAG 4-3-3 · CEL 4-3-3
📊 Statistics
ZAG 0
– 3 CEL
0.70
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.44
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
Match recap
Celta Vigo won 3–0 away at Dinamo Zagreb. At half-time it was 0–3.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.44 to 0.70. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.44 expected goals.
Model audit for this match: of 20 graded markets, 9 landed and 11 missed, for a net -1.98 units (Brier 0.201).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
20 · 9 W · 11 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Home Win |
2.79 |
— |
31% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.58 |
— |
27% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
2.65 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+1.65 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.73 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.10 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+1.10 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.06 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.06 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
11.80 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.30 |
— |
69% |
Cashed |
+0.30 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
3.75 |
— |
31% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.97 |
— |
49% |
Cashed |
+0.97 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.97 |
— |
51% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.30 |
— |
32% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.37 |
— |
68% |
Cashed |
+0.37 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.55 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.50 |
— |
69% |
Cashed |
+0.50 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.02 |
— |
31% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.92 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+0.92 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -1 |
4.65 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away +1 |
4.15 |
— |
65% |
Cashed |
+3.15 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +2 |
1.04 |
— |
94% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 20 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
9 W · 11 L |
−1.98u |
−10% ROI |
