Match Red Bull Salzburg vs GO Ahead Eagles November 6, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 06 Nov · 17:45
2:0
Full-time
Red Bull Arena · Wals-Siezenheim
Referee Giorgi Kruashvili, Georgia
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.47
✓
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 10% · book 17.50
✗
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 26% · book 5.19
✗
xG (open play)
2.61 – 1.19
Δ +1.42
AI accuracy
10 / 20
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.64 — +10.0% better than the market.
Salzburg should have more of the ball and territorially pin Go Ahead Eagles, but both attacks run into organised midblocks. Expect the hosts to edge chances while the visitors look for sharp transitions. Game script leans controlled rather than chaotic; conservative totals and big cushions on the visitors rate best unless an early goal breaks structure.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.64
✓ Cashed
AI 67%
Implied 61%
+0.64u
⛀ Lineups
SAL 4-3-3 · EAG 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
SAL 2
– 0 EAG
2.61
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.19
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
Match recap
Red Bull Salzburg beat GO Ahead Eagles 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.61 to 1.19. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 20 graded markets, 10 landed and 10 missed, for a net -3.50 units (Brier 0.131).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
20 · 10 W · 10 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS No |
2.47 |
— |
52% |
Cashed |
+1.47 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
17.50 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
5.19 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.49 |
— |
51% |
Cashed |
+1.49 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.64 |
— |
67% |
Cashed |
+0.64 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.77 |
— |
58% |
Cashed |
+0.77 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
4.24 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
4.70 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.58 |
— |
48% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.19 |
— |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.19 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.60 |
— |
49% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.47 |
— |
33% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.23 |
— |
82% |
Cashed |
+0.23 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.22 |
— |
42% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.40 |
— |
58% |
Cashed |
+0.40 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
3.63 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home +1 |
1.02 |
— |
82% |
Cashed |
+0.02 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -1 |
2.25 |
— |
24% |
Cashed |
+1.25 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -2 |
4.33 |
— |
11% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 20 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
10 W · 10 L |
−3.50u |
−18% ROI |
