Match Union Berlin vs Borussia Mönchengladbach October 17, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.38 — +12.9% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

Union Berlin are expected to leverage their home advantage against Borussia Mönchengladbach. With a stronger overall form and attacking profile, Union Berlin are likely to control the match tempo. Borussia Mönchengladbach may struggle to break through Union Berlin's defensive shape, making a home win a probable outcome. The match could see more than two goals, with Union Berlin's attack being the key factor.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.38 ✓ Cashed

AI 82% Implied 72% +0.38u

+38%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

UNI 3-4-2-1 · MOE 4-4-2

UNI · 3-4-2-1 4-4-2 · MOE

23 Ilić

Subs used · UNI

39'

Haberer ↑ ·

Trimmel ↓

69'

Rothe ↑ ·

Kohn ↓

69'

Woo-Yeong ↑ ·

Skarke ↓

76'

Kral ↑ ·

Ansah ↓

Subs used · MOE

60'

Ullrich ↑ ·

Diks ↓

60'

Stoger ↑ ·

Neuhaus ↓

60'

Honorat ↑ ·

Castrop ↓

60'

Reyna ↑ ·

Engelhardt ↓

80'

Urbich ↑ ·

Sander ↓

📊 Statistics

UNI 3 – 1 MOE

37%

Possession (%)

63%

1.14

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.65

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

69%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

21 · 3 – 1

D. Doekhi

Assist · C. Trimmel · 1–0

⚽

D. Doekhi

Assist · I. Ansah · 2–0

⚽

26'

33'

⚽

H. Tabakovic

Assist · Y. Engelhardt · 2–1

36'

▮

Jens Castrop

Yellow Card

Christopher Trimmel

Yellow Card

▮

37'

J. Haberer ↓ · C. Trimmel ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

39'

Half-time · 2 – 1

Derrick Köhn

Yellow Card

▮

49'

60'

⇄

L. Ullrich ↓ · K. Diks ↑

Substitution 1

60'

⇄

K. Stoger ↓ · F. Neuhaus ↑

Substitution 2

60'

⇄

F. Honorat ↓ · J. Castrop ↑

Substitution 3

60'

⇄

G. Reyna ↓ · Y. Engelhardt ↑

Substitution 4

62'

▮

Rocco Reitz

Yellow Card

T. Rothe ↓ · D. Kohn ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓ · T. Skarke ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

Rani Khedira

Yellow Card

▮

75'

A. Kral ↓ · I. Ansah ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

80'

⇄

J. Urbich ↓ · P. Sander ↑

Substitution 5

R. Khedira

3–1

⚽

81'

Janik Haberer

Yellow Card

▮

89'

Leopold Querfeld

Yellow Card

▮

89'

90+4'

▮

Giovanni Reyna

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Union Berlin beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 5 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.14 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Doekhi (3'), D. Doekhi (26'), H. Tabakovic (33'), R. Khedira (81').

Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 8 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.20 units (Brier 0.160).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 8 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.27	—	58%	Cashed	+1.27	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.88	—	59%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.38	—	82%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.05	—	38%	Cashed	+2.05	Cashed
BTTS No	2.26	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	—	82%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Draw	3.66	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.45	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.68	—	52%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	95%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.10	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.42	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.74	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.61	—	58%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 6 L	+0.20u	+1% ROI

Match Union Berlin vs Borussia Mönchengladbach October 17, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.38 — +12.9% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled