Match PAOK vs AEK Athens FC February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.09 — +13.9% better than the market.

PAOK holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a competitive clash at Toumba Stadium. Their recent form shows resilience, while AEK's strong away defensive record could limit clear chances. Expect a tactical battle with PAOK's offensive pressure meeting AEK's compact defensive block.

Home momentum with solid recent wins
AEK's disciplined defensive setup
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.09 ✓ Cashed

AI 55% Implied 48% +1.09u

+109%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAO 4-2-3-1 · AEK 4-1-3-2

PAO · 4-2-3-1 4-1-3-2 · AEK

7 Giakoumakis

📊 Statistics

PAO 0 – 0 AEK

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.22

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.52

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PAOK and AEK Athens FC drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.22 to 0.52. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 8, 1 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +9.23 units (Brier 0.279).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.87	—	60%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Home Win	2.30	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.09	—	55%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.70	—	49%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.00	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.45	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.50	—	34%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	11%	Cashed	+10.00	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.33	—	79%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.34	—	77%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.56	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	89%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.40	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.45	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+9.23u	+54% ROI