Match Panathinaikos vs Larisa February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.29 — +5.1% better than the market.

Panathinaikos hold a clear quality edge over Larisa, boosted by a solid home defensive record and a pressing style that could stifle Larisa's attack. Despite Larisa's recent winning streak, Panathinaikos' home momentum and tactical discipline suggest they will control the game's rhythm. Expect a compact defensive block from the hosts, limiting chances and favoring a low-scoring encounter.

Strong home defensive setup
Larisa's attack challenged by pressing
Moderate pace with tactical control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.29 ✓ Cashed

AI 81% Implied 78% +0.29u

+29%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAN 3-4-2-1 · AEL 3-4-3

PAN · 3-4-2-1 3-4-3 · AEL

19 Świderski

📊 Statistics

PAN 1 – 1 AEL

70%

Possession (%)

30%

0.86

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.66

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Panathinaikos and Larisa drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.40 units (Brier 0.219).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.85	—	62%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS No	1.60	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.60	—	37%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.07	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.30	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	81%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.08	—	93%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Home Win	1.37	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.11	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.75	—	20%	Cashed	+3.75	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	87%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.40	—	27%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.36	—	63%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Away Win	10.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.75	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.30	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.40u	+2% ROI