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Home Greece Super League 1 AEK Athens FC — Olympiakos Piraeus

Predictions AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus February 1, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
Home · last 5 W D W D D
Kick-off
Sun 01 Feb · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
W L D W D Away · last 5
Allwyn Arena · Athens Referee D. Makkelie
Home Win · AEK
28%
Best 2.42
Draw
28%
Best 3.08
Away Win · OLY
45%
Best 2.99
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.64
book 4.00 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +9.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (73%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 27.5%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 28%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 32.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.2%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 27.5%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
AEK – OLY @ 4.00
+9.8%
Edge
Forecast →