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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund — RB Leipzig

Predictions Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig October 4, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 13:30
1:1
Full-time
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
W W L W L Away · last 5
Referee Sascha Stegemann, Germany
Home Win · DOR
60%
Best 1.68
Draw
21%
Best 4.70
Away Win · LEI
%
Best 4.25
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.76
Fair odds
1.67
book 1.76 · +5.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 60% · EV +5.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 2 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 21%
Odds 4.70
Show model details
Implied probability 21.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 3 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 51%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 32%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 36%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
DOR – LEI @ 1.76
+5.6%
Edge
Forecast →