Match AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis November 23, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.75 — +11.0% better than the market.

AEK Athens FC arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record that should challenge Aris Thessalonikis' attack. The quality gap favors the hosts significantly, and their recent form suggests a confident, controlled approach. Aris may struggle to break down AEK's compact block, while the home side's pressing edge could limit away chances.

AEK's defensive solidity vs Aris' moderate offense
Home form advantage and tactical discipline
Likely cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals probable

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.75 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 57% +0.75u

+75%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AEK 4-2-2-2 · ARI 4-4-2

AEK · 4-2-2-2 4-4-2 · ARI

90 Zini

📊 Statistics

AEK 1 – 0 ARI

66%

Possession (%)

34%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

AEK Athens FC beat Aris Thessalonikis 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 6, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.76 units (Brier 0.106).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.87	—	62%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
BTTS No	1.75	—	63%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.22	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.02	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.55	—	69%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	—	38%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.31	—	82%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.14	—	91%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.90	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.15	—	69%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Draw	4.37	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	87%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.34	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.81	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.55	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.97	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.76u	−22% ROI

Match AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis November 23, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks BTTS No at 1.75 — +11.0% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled