Match Aris Thessalonikis vs Panathinaikos October 19, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.25 — +13.2% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Aris Thessalonikis and Panathinaikos, the away side holds a slight edge with a 50.95% estimated probability of winning, reflected in odds of 2.35. The match is expected to be closely contested, with a moderate chance of both teams scoring. The defensive solidity of both teams suggests a lower likelihood of a high-scoring affair, with Under 2.5 Goals being a reasonable expectation.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.25 ✗ Lost

AI 35% Implied 31% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ARI 4-2-3-1 · PAN 4-3-1-2

ARI · 4-2-3-1 4-3-1-2 · PAN

9 Kadewere

📊 Statistics

ARI 1 – 1 PAN

46%

Possession (%)

54%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aris Thessalonikis and Panathinaikos drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.30 units (Brier 0.157).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.35	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.34	—	79%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.70	—	61%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.25	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.29	—	28%	Cashed	+2.29	Cashed
Home Win	3.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.93	—	46%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	89%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.30	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.44	—	65%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.30	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.05	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	80%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.65	—	49%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.30	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.68	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.30u	−19% ROI