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Home Austria Bundesliga Ried — WSG Wattens

Predictions Ried vs WSG Wattens October 4, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Ried
Ried
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 15:00
2:0
Full-time
WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
D W L D L Away · last 5
Innviertel Arena · Ried Im Innkreis Referee Christian-Petru Ciochirca, Austria
Home Win · RIE
44%
Best 2.15
Draw
27%
Best 3.24
Away Win · WAT
30%
Best 3.30
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.55
Fair odds
3.39
book 3.55 · +4.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +4.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (44%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 29.5%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 31.5%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5 Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 48%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
RIE – WAT @ 3.55
+4.7%
Edge
Forecast →