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Karviná — Slovan Liberec
Match Karviná vs Slovan Liberec April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats
—
/
Czech Liga
Value pick inside
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 11:00
3:1
Full-time
Town Stadium Karvina · Karvina
Referee D. Vokoun
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.18
✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.38
✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.50
✗
xG (open play)
1.61 – 1.87
Δ −0.26
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.47 — +12.3% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.47
✗ Lost
AI 76%
Implied 68%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
KAR 4-2-3-1 · LIB 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
KAR 3
– 1 LIB
1.61
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.87
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
69%
Match recap
Karviná beat Slovan Liberec 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.91 units (Brier 0.287).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.18 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.38 |
— |
51% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
2.50 |
— |
48% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.75 |
— |
48% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.62 |
— |
50% |
Cashed |
+0.62 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.78 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+0.78 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.09 |
— |
27% |
Cashed |
+1.09 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.47 |
— |
76% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.47 |
— |
73% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
13.00 |
— |
12% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.25 |
— |
33% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.57 |
— |
52% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
2.82 |
— |
27% |
Cashed |
+1.82 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.90 |
— |
24% |
Cashed |
+1.90 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
— |
88% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.55 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.26 |
— |
67% |
Cashed |
+0.26 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−1.91u |
−11% ROI |