Match Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové February 15, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.40 — +7.9% better than the market.

Sparta Praha holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, reflected in their stronger form and superior attacking-defensive matchup. Their compact block and disciplined defense should contain Hradec Králové’s moderate offensive threat. The pace hints at a moderately open game, but Sparta’s home edge suggests control and fewer risks.

Home side’s pressing and set-piece threat stand out
Hradec’s defense tested by Sparta’s efficient attack
Recent form favors Sparta’s consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.40 ✓ Cashed

AI 77% Implied 71% +0.40u

+40%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPA 4-2-3-1 · HRA 3-4-2-1

SPA · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · HRA

9 Rrahmani

📊 Statistics

SPA 2 – 0 HRA

63%

Possession (%)

37%

2.43

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.67

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sparta Praha beat Hradec Králové 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.43 to 0.67. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.72 units (Brier 0.081).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.10	—	56%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS No	1.80	—	57%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.14	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.87	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	77%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Home Win	1.40	—	71%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.11	—	92%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.00	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.12	—	71%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	4.60	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	—	69%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	8.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.40	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.72u	−34% ROI

Match Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.40 — +7.9% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled