Match Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin December 6, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 13.00 — +13.7% better than the market.

Zlin arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they can challenge effectively at Lokotrans Arena. Despite Mlada Boleslav's home familiarity, their defensive struggles against Zlin's steady attack could be decisive. The match hints at a balanced tempo with moderate goal expectations, favoring a tactical battle where Zlin's compact block and resilience might earn them points.

Home side's defensive vulnerability vs away's solid defense
Away team’s slightly better form and quality gap
Moderate pace suggests controlled, strategic play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5

Under 0.5 @ 13.00 ✗ Lost

AI 9% Implied 8% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MLA 3-4-2-1 · ZLI 4-4-2

MLA · 3-4-2-1 4-4-2 · ZLI

9 Vojta

📊 Statistics

MLA 3 – 1 ZLI

52%

Possession (%)

48%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Mlada Boleslav beat Zlin 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.98 units (Brier 0.231).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.83	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.15	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.64	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.74	—	50%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.88	—	46%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Home Win	2.03	—	40%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Away Win	3.50	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.32	—	64%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.15	—	25%	Cashed	+2.15	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.55	—	40%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	—	71%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Draw	3.74	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.98u	−18% ROI