Match Union St. Gilloise vs Dender March 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.30 — +5.1% better than the market.

Union St. Gilloise arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive edge and a potent attack that outmatches Dender's defense. Their recent form shows consistent wins, contrasting with Dender's struggles and low scoring trend. The home side's pressing and compact block should limit Dender's chances, while the pace hints at a moderately open game with opportunities for set-piece threats.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive limitations
Superior recent form and confidence
Moderate tempo favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.30 ✗ Lost

AI 46% Implied 43% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GIL 3-4-2-1 · DEN 4-3-3

GIL · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · DEN

9 Biondic

📊 Statistics

GIL 2 – 0 DEN

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.79

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Union St. Gilloise beat Dender 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.79 to 0.46. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 9 shots to 5, 3 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.81 units (Brier 0.092).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.30	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.30	—	45%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
BTTS No	1.75	—	54%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.70	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.06	—	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	67%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Home Win	1.29	—	77%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.02	—	77%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.75	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.87	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.23	—	78%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.70	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	12.10	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	8.30	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.81u	−34% ROI