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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Union St. Gilloise — Genk

Predictions Union St. Gilloise vs Genk March 7, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
Home · last 5 L W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 19:45
2:1
Full-time
Genk
Genk
W D D W D Away · last 5
Stade Joseph Marien · Brussels Referee Lawrence Visser, Belgium
Home Win · GIL
63%
Best 1.68
Draw
23%
Best 3.84
Away Win · GEN
14%
Best 4.75
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.96
book 3.25 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (66%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 3.99
Show model details
Implied probability 25.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 13.7%
Odds 5.23
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.1%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 12.10
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 45.4%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.7%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.3%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
GIL – GEN @ 3.25
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →