Match Cercle Brugge vs Dender March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.79 — +9.3% better than the market.

Cercle Brugge holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, reflected in their stronger adjusted strength and recent form. Their offensive edge against Dender’s defense suggests they can create chances, while Dender’s struggles on the road and weaker defensive solidity may be exposed. Expect Cercle’s compact block and set-piece threat to shape the game, with a moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds.

Home side’s pressing and defensive discipline
Dender’s recent poor form and away challenges
Potential for controlled tempo and tactical patience

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.79 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CER 4-4-2 · DEN 4-4-2

CER · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · DEN

13 Vanzeir

📊 Statistics

CER 0 – 0 DEN

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.63

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.09

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

69%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Cercle Brugge and Dender drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.63 to 1.09. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 11, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +12.05 units (Brier 0.337).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.79	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.08	—	50%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	49%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.87	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.14	—	39%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.25	—	26%	Cashed	+3.25	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	85%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.41	—	72%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.15	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.32	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	8%	Cashed	+11.00	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.85	—	24%	Cashed	+2.85	Cashed
Away Win	4.70	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.50	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+12.05u	+71% ROI