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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Standard Liege — Union St. Gilloise

Match Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise February 14, 2026 — Result and Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
L W L D W Away · last 5
Referee Lawrence Visser, Belgium
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 62% · book 1.77
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.19
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 46% · book 2.10
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.28 – 1.27
Δ +0.01
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.77 — +9.3% better than the market.

Union St. Gilloise enter this clash with clear quality and form advantages over Standard Liege. Their superior attacking edge and defensive solidity suggest they can control the game tempo and limit home chances. Standard's recent struggles and defensive vulnerabilities may be exposed by Union's pressing and efficient forward play.

  • Union's strong away momentum and tactical discipline
  • Standard's defensive frailties and inconsistent form
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over wild open exchanges

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.77 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

STA 11 GIL
33%
Possession (%)
67%
1.28
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.27
7
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
8
5
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Corner Kicks
5
4
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
16
57%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
4
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Standard Liege and Union St. Gilloise drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 77% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.34 units (Brier 0.182).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.77 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.19 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.10 46% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 1.80 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.75 53% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.15 38% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.20 86% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.15 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.27 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.10 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.38 72% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 91% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 75% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Draw 3.72 24% Cashed +2.72 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.25 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.77 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.34u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
STA – GIL @ 1.77
+9.3%
Edge
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