Match Anderlecht vs Dender January 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.35 — +5.9% better than the market.

Anderlecht holds a clear quality edge over Dender, boosted by a solid home attacking threat against a less resilient away defense. Despite mixed recent form, Anderlecht’s home momentum and sharper offensive play suggest they can control the game tempo. Dender’s recent away struggles and defensive vulnerabilities may invite pressure, favoring a match with moderate goal chances.

Home attacking edge vs away defense
Anderlecht’s home momentum
Dender’s defensive frailties on the road

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.35 ✓ Cashed

AI 24% Implied 23% +3.35u

+335%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AND 4-2-3-1 · DEN 3-4-1-2

AND · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · DEN

14 Sikan

📊 Statistics

AND 0 – 0 DEN

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.75

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.92

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Anderlecht and Dender drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.75 to 0.92. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 9, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +13.94 units (Brier 0.357).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.14	—	49%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	—	51%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.93	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.82	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.57	—	32%	Cashed	+1.57	Cashed
Home Win	1.53	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.14	—	89%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.43	—	70%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.20	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.35	—	24%	Cashed	+3.35	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	7%	Cashed	+12.00	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.27	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.40	—	21%	Cashed	+3.40	Cashed
Away Win	6.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.94	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+13.94u	+82% ROI