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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Charleroi — Standard Liege

Predictions Charleroi vs Standard Liege January 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Charleroi
Charleroi
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sun 18 Jan · 17:30
2:0
Full-time
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
W W D W L Away · last 5
Stade du Pays de Charleroi · Charleroi Referee Jasper Vergoote, Belgium
Home Win · CHA
59%
Best 2.02
Draw
27%
Best 3.13
Away Win · STA
14%
Best 4.00
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.88
Fair odds
2.52
book 2.88 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +14.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (60%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 13.9%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 33.9%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 14%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 83.8%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 16.3%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.9%
Odds 3.73
Show model details
Implied probability 26.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
CHA – STA @ 2.88
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →