Match Gent vs Anderlecht January 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.30 — +4.1% better than the market.

Gent hosts Anderlecht in a tightly matched Jupiler Pro League clash. Despite Anderlecht's slight quality edge and better recent form, Gent's home momentum and pressing edge could balance the scales. The home side's defensive solidity contrasts with Anderlecht's more potent attack, setting up a tactical battle.

Gent's home advantage offers a compact block and resilience.
Anderlecht's sharper offense tests Gent's defense.
Moderate pace expected, favoring a cautious start.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.30 ✗ Lost

AI 45% Implied 43% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-2-3-1 · AND 4-2-3-1

GEN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · AND

7 Kanga

📊 Statistics

GEN 4 – 2 AND

52%

Possession (%)

48%

3.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Gent beat Anderlecht 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–2.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.35 to 1.46. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.84 units (Brier 0.242).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.30	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.23	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.85	—	52%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.04	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	56%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.67	—	55%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.64	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.31	—	29%	Cashed	+1.31	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.39	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	31%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	76%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.95	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.22	—	29%	Cashed	+2.22	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.84u	−5% ROI