Match Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise December 26, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.95 — +13.4% better than the market.

Union St. Gilloise arrive with clear quality and form superiority, boasting a strong attacking edge against Cercle Brugge's defense. The visitors' pressing and tactical discipline could exploit the home side's recent shaky form. Cercle's home momentum is limited, but their compact block might help contain damage. Expect a lively pace given the balanced goal expectations and odds favoring over 2.5 goals.

Union's offensive strength vs Cercle's defense
Home side's inconsistent recent results
Potential for open play and goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.95 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CER 4-1-3-2 · GIL 3-4-2-1

CER · 4-1-3-2 3-4-2-1 · GIL

9 Ngoura

📊 Statistics

CER 1 – 1 GIL

36%

Possession (%)

64%

1.53

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.27

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

61%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Cercle Brugge and Union St. Gilloise drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 76% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.27 to 1.53. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 9, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.49 units (Brier 0.181).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.95	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.87	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	59%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.04	—	41%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.92	—	42%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.10	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.43	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.28	—	82%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	62%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	81%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	24%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.95	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.95	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.10	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.49u	−15% ROI

Match Cercle Brugge vs Union St. Gilloise December 26, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Away Win at 1.95 — +13.4% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled