Match Sunderland vs Manchester United May 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.94 — +14.0% better than the market.

Manchester United arrives at Stadium of Light with a clear quality edge and strong offensive firepower against Sunderland's solid but less potent defense. Despite Sunderland's better recent form, United's pressing and attacking threat should challenge the home side's compact block. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with both teams capable of creating chances but United likely to control possession and dictate tempo.

United's superior attack vs Sunderland's defense
Sunderland's home momentum but limited firepower
Moderate pace suggests balanced but controlled play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.94 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

SUN 0 – 0 MUN

51%

Possession (%)

49%

1.16

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.57

15

Total Shots

11

4

Shots on Target

1

6

Shots off Target

5

9

Shots Inside Box

6

Corner Kicks

7

1

Offsides

0

12

Fouls

11

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

0

Yellow Cards

3

1

Goalkeeper Saves

4

⏱ Match events

7 · 0 – 0

Half-time · 0 – 0

54'

▮

M. Mount

Yellow Card

58'

▮

J. Zirkzee

Yellow Card

65'

⇄

P. Dorgu ↓ · J. Zirkzee ↑

Substitution 1

75'

⇄

B. Mbeumo ↓ · A. Diallo ↑

Substitution 2

N. Angulo ↓ · C. Talbi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

79'

E. Mayenda ↓ · T. Hume ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

90'

90+3'

▮

M. Cunha

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Sunderland and Manchester United drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.16 to 0.57. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 4 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +13.20 units (Brier 0.342).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.94	1.93	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.14	2.10	49%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
BTTS No	2.20	2.18	47%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.83	1.73	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	1.66	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.80	2.75	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.96	1.87	41%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.40	1.46	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.27	1.26	83%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	4.20	25%	Cashed	+3.33	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	1.42	70%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	12.99	8%	Cashed	+12.00	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	1.02	92%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	1.20	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.86	3.65	24%	Cashed	+2.86	Cashed
Home Win	4.20	3.85	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.34	2.82	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+13.20u	+78% ROI