Match Gent vs St. Truiden November 30, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.26 — +7.0% better than the market.

Gent holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a competitive edge in this clash. Their recent form shows more consistency, and the home side's defensive solidity could challenge St. Truiden's attacking threat. However, St. Truiden's offense is lively, hinting at a potentially open game with chances at both ends.

Gent's home momentum and compact defense
St. Truiden's pressing and attacking intent
Balanced pace with moderate goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.26 ✗ Lost

AI 47% Implied 44% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-2-3-1 · TRU 4-2-3-1

GEN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · TRU

7 Kanga

📊 Statistics

GEN 1 – 2 TRU

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.84

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

St. Truiden won 2–1 away at Gent. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.84 to 1.19. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 14, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.67 units (Brier 0.197).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.26	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.79	—	56%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.18	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	58%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.70	—	53%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.67	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.30	—	28%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.95	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.39	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	66%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Away Win	3.15	—	28%	Cashed	+2.15	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	79%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.35	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.64	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.67u	−16% ROI