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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League RAAL La Louvière — Cercle Brugge

Match RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge November 2, 2025 — Result and Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière
Home · last 5 L L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 18:15
2:1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
W W W L L Away · last 5
Stade Communal du Tivoli · La Louvière Referee Bert Put, Belgium
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 2.01
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.84
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.10
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
0.80 – 1.87
Δ −1.07
Possession
29% – 71%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.40 — +8.0% better than the market.

Cercle Brugge holds a clear quality edge over RAAL La Louvière, reflected in their stronger offensive numbers and overall team strength. Despite RAAL's recent home momentum with a win in their last five, Cercle's more balanced defense and sharper attack suggest they can control the game tactically. The match may lean towards a cautious tempo given the moderate odds on goals, favoring a compact defensive setup from the hosts.

  • Cercle's offensive edge against RAAL's defense
  • Home side's recent positive form
  • Likely tactical caution and moderate pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 3.40 ✗ Lost
AI 32% Implied 29% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

RAA 21 CER
29%
Possession (%)
71%
0.80
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.87
8
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
8
6
Shots Inside Box
9
1
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
12
61%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
3
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

RAAL La Louvière beat Cercle Brugge 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.87 to 0.80. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.25 units (Brier 0.218).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.01 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.84 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.10 42% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.02 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 46% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Home Win 2.70 29% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.91 29% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.52 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.87 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.40 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 57% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.29 78% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.37 68% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Draw 3.35 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.65 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.25u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
RAA – CER @ 3.40
+8.0%
Edge
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