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Home England Premier League Tottenham — Leeds

Predictions Tottenham vs Leeds May 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Mon 11 May · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee J. Gillett
Home Win · TOT
46%
Best 1.84
Draw
23%
Best 4.04
Away Win · LEE
31%
Best 4.50
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.81
book 4.33 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +13.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 31.1%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.16
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.3%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 72.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27.9%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8%
Odds 13.90
Show model details
Implied probability 7.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 48.3%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.7%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.24
Show model details
Implied probability 30.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 54.5%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
TOT – LEE @ 4.33
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →