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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Dender — KV Mechelen

Predictions Dender vs KV Mechelen October 19, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Dender
Dender
Home · last 5 L W L L D
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 14:00
1:3
Full-time
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
W L D D L Away · last 5
Dender Football Complex · Denderleeuw Referee Michiel Allaerts, Belgium
Home Win · DEN
27%
Best 2.61
Draw
26%
Best 3.35
Away Win · MEC
47%
Best 2.61
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 11.00
Fair odds
9.92
book 11.00 · +10.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 10% · EV +10.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (90%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 27.4%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 33.6%
Odds 3.93
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality High
Under 3.5
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality High
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 89.9%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 10.1%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 39.5%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20.8%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 52.9%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.1%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 27.4%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
DEN – MEC @ 11.00
+10.9%
Edge
Forecast →