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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League KV Mechelen — St. Truiden

Predictions KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden October 4, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
Home · last 5 W L D D L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 14:00
1:3
Full-time
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
W L D L W Away · last 5
Referee Jasper Vergoote, Belgium
Home Win · MEC
43%
Best 2.20
Draw
27%
Best 3.45
Away Win · TRU
30%
Best 3.04
Value pick
Draw
@ 3.80
Fair odds
3.70
book 3.80 · +2.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 27% · EV +2.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (43%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 30%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 43%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 46%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 68%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 1 market
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 57%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
MEC – TRU @ 3.80
+2.6%
Edge
Forecast →