Match Brentford vs West Ham May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.01 — +12.7% better than the market.

Brentford hold a clear quality edge and home momentum despite a recent string of draws. Their defensive solidity and sharper attack against West Ham's less effective defense suggest they can control the game tempo. West Ham's slightly better recent form hints at resilience, but Brentford's home edge and tactical discipline should limit their chances.

Brentford's compact block counters West Ham's moderate offensive threat
Home crowd support boosts Brentford's pressing intensity
Match likely to feature controlled pace with moderate goal flow

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.01 ✓ Cashed

AI 56% Implied 50% +1.01u

+101%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · WES 4-4-1-1

BRE · 4-2-3-1 4-4-1-1 · WES

9 Thiago ⚽

Subs used · BRE

80'

Ajer ↑ ·

Schade ↓

90'

Furo ↑ ·

Ouattara ↓

90+1'

Hickey ↑ ·

Lewis-Potter ↓

90+1'

Dasilva ↑ ·

Damsgaard ↓

Subs used · WES

65'

Wilson ↑ ·

Castellanos ↓

65'

Wan-Bissaka ↑ ·

Walker-Peters ↓

74'

Traore ↑ ·

Diouf ↓

88'

Scarles ↑ ·

Summerville ↓

88'

Magassa ↑ ·

Bowen ↓

📊 Statistics

BRE 3 – 0 WES

48%

Possession (%)

52%

2.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.72

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 3 – 0

K. Mavropanos

Own goal · 1–0

⚽

15'

Half-time · 1 – 0

I. Thiago (P)

Penalty · 2–0

⚽

54'

59'

▮

T. Castellanos

Yellow Card

62'

▮

C. Summerville

Yellow Card

65'

⇄

C. Wilson ↓ · T. Castellanos ↑

Substitution 1

65'

⇄

A. Wan-Bissaka ↓ · K. Walker-Peters ↑

Substitution 2

M. Kayode

Yellow Card

▮

73'

74'

⇄

A. Traore ↓ · M. Diouf ↑

Substitution 3

K. Ajer ↓ · K. Schade ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

80'

M. Damsgaard

Assist · K. Lewis-Potter · 3–0

⚽

82'

88'

⇄

O. Scarles ↓ · C. Summerville ↑

Substitution 4

88'

⇄

S. Magassa ↓ · J. Bowen ↑

Substitution 5

K. Furo ↓ · D. Ouattara ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

90'

A. Hickey ↓ · K. Lewis-Potter ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+1'

J. Dasilva ↓ · M. Damsgaard ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+1'

90+6'

▮

O. Scarles

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Brentford beat West Ham 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.06 to 0.72. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: K. Mavropanos (15'), I. Thiago (54'), M. Damsgaard (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.27 units (Brier 0.126).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.01	1.85	56%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
BTTS No	2.45	2.38	43%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.38	2.38	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.68	1.57	57%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.50	2.38	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.89	1.91	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.80	2.94	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.31	1.25	80%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.53	1.53	65%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	1.55	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.52	1.43	56%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.80	5.00	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	16.50	14.93	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	1.02	94%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	1.15	79%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Draw	3.88	3.91	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.84	3.91	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.27u	−25% ROI