Match Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor May 16, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.90 — +13.0% better than the market.

Fatih Karagümrük hosts Alanyaspor in a Süper Lig clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Alanyaspor’s stronger defense and slightly better offensive output suggest a tactical upper hand, although Fatih Karagümrük’s home form and compact defensive block could keep things tight. The recent head-to-head favors the home side, but expect a cautious game with limited clear-cut chances.

Alanyaspor’s defensive solidity challenges Fatih Karagümrük’s attack
Home side’s resilience may limit goal-scoring opportunities
Match likely leans towards a controlled tempo and under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.90 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KAR 4-2-3-1 · ALA 3-4-3

KAR · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · ALA

23 Larsson

📊 Statistics

KAR 2 – 1 ALA

44%

Possession (%)

56%

1.72

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.62

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fatih Karagümrük beat Alanyaspor 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.72 to 0.62. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 0.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.30 units (Brier 0.230).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.90	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.67	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.89	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.99	—	41%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	46%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.99	—	27%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.47	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.50	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	78%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.51	—	54%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Home Win	2.81	—	27%	Cashed	+1.81	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	89%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	—	66%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.30u	−19% ROI

Match Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.90 — +13.0% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled