Match Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kocaelispor April 26, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.75 — +9.8% better than the market.

Kocaelispor arrives with a clear quality edge and a more resilient recent form compared to Genclerbirligi, who are struggling with a string of losses. The visitors' defensive solidity could stifle the home side's modest attacking threat, while Genclerbirligi's home advantage is tempered by their poor momentum. Expect a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring opportunities given the cautious pace suggested by the odds.

Kocaelispor's defensive strength vs Genclerbirligi's attack
Home side's recent losing streak
Likely compact and low-tempo game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 2.75 ✓ Cashed

AI 40% Implied 36% +1.75u

+175%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-2-3-1 · KOC 4-3-3

GEN · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · KOC

22 Koita

📊 Statistics

GEN 1 – 0 KOC

36%

Possession (%)

64%

1.00

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.66

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Gençlerbirliği S.K. beat Kocaelispor 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 83% of their passes.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.90 units (Brier 0.204).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 1.5	2.75	—	40%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
BTTS No	1.80	—	59%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.60	—	66%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.01	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.29	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.50	—	30%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.78	—	30%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Away Win	2.81	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.10	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.40	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	58%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.20	—	83%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	86%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.20	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.90u	−17% ROI

Match Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kocaelispor April 26, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.75 — +9.8% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled