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Home England Premier League Manchester United — Liverpool

Predictions Manchester United vs Liverpool May 3, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester United
Manchester United
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sun 03 May · 14:30
3:2
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Old Trafford · Manchester Referee Darren England, England
Home Win · MUN
41%
Best 2.35
Draw
24%
Best 3.90
Away Win · LIV
35%
Best 3.02
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.88
Fair odds
2.83
book 2.88 · +1.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 35% · EV +1.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (65%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.91
Show model details
Implied probability 34.4%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 83.1%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 16.9%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.6%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MUN – LIV @ 2.88
+1.9%
Edge
Forecast →