Match Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.39 — +7.7% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 6.39 ✓ Cashed

AI 17% Implied 16% +5.39u

+539%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GAL 4-2-3-1 · KOC 4-3-3

GAL · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · KOC

53 Yılmaz

📊 Statistics

GAL 1 – 1 KOC

68%

Possession (%)

32%

1.25

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Galatasaray and Kocaelispor drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.25 to 0.46. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.07 units (Brier 0.244).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.82	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.41	—	41%	Cashed	+1.41	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.21	—	44%	Cashed	+1.21	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.62	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.60	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.39	—	17%	Cashed	+5.39	Cashed
Home Win	1.34	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.07	—	94%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.57	—	64%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.10	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.80	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	80%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.18	—	23%	Cashed	+3.18	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	13.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	8.40	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+3.07u	+18% ROI