Match Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK March 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.28 — +9.7% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 7.28 ✗ Lost

AI 15% Implied 14% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FEN 4-2-3-1 · GAZ 3-5-2

FEN · 4-2-3-1 3-5-2 · GAZ

26 Cherif

📊 Statistics

FEN 4 – 1 GAZ

64%

Possession (%)

36%

2.64

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.50

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fenerbahçe beat Gaziantep FK 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.64 to 1.50. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 11, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 7.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.86 units (Brier 0.085).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.99	—	55%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.80	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.19	—	45%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
BTTS No	1.96	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	7.28	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.24	—	80%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.47	—	66%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.90	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.02	—	80%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.15	—	85%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.72	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.25	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	21.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	14.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	8.80	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.86u	−34% ROI