Match Kocaelispor vs Konyaspor March 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.05 — +13.8% better than the market.

Konyaspor enters with a slight quality edge and a more potent attack, while Kocaelispor shows home momentum and a sturdy defensive block. The home side’s pressing edge could challenge Konyaspor’s offense, but the visitors’ recent form and sharper attack suggest a balanced contest. Expect a tactical battle with limited goals given the cautious pace indicated by odds.

Kocaelispor’s home defense vs Konyaspor’s attack
Close form trends with slight home momentum
Moderate pace favoring a compact game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.05 ✗ Lost

AI 37% Implied 33% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KOC 4-3-3 · KON 4-2-3-1

KOC · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · KON

17 Churlinov

📊 Statistics

KOC 1 – 2 KON

42%

Possession (%)

58%

0.61

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.02

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Konyaspor won 2–1 away at Kocaelispor. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.02 to 0.61. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 7 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.38 units (Brier 0.202).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.70	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.91	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.62	—	66%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.34	—	38%	Cashed	+1.34	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.41	—	36%	Cashed	+1.41	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	43%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	2.42	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.66	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.05	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.42	—	38%	Cashed	+2.42	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.47	—	63%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	82%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.11	—	86%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Draw	3.25	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.33	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.38u	−8% ROI