Match West Ham vs Everton April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.97 — +13.8% better than the market.

West Ham hosts Everton in a clash where Everton's overall quality edge is clear, but West Ham's home form and defensive solidity could keep things tight. Everton's slightly better recent form and attacking edge suggest they may press for goals, yet West Ham's compact block and home momentum might limit chances.

Everton's stronger overall strength and recent form give them a pressing edge.
West Ham's home defensive resilience could frustrate visitors.
Moderate pace expected, with a balanced goal environment.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.97 ✗ Lost

AI 29% Implied 25% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WES 4-4-1-1 · EVE 4-2-3-1

WES · 4-4-1-1 4-2-3-1 · EVE

11 Castellanos

Subs used · WES

79'

Potts ↑ ·

Castellanos ↓

81'

Wilson ↑ ·

Pablo ↓

90+5'

Todibo ↑ ·

Bowen ↓

Subs used · EVE

65'

George ↑ ·

McNeil ↓

65'

Iroegbunam ↑ ·

O'Brien ↓

86'

Alcaraz ↑ ·

Gueye ↓

📊 Statistics

WES 2 – 1 EVE

44%

Possession (%)

56%

1.17

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.35

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1

38'

▮

Jake O'Brien

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

47'

▮

James Tarkowski

Yellow Card

T. Soucek

Assist · J. Bowen · 1–0

⚽

51'

63'

▮

James Garner

Yellow Card

65'

⇄

T. George ↓ · D. McNeil ↑

Substitution 1

65'

⇄

T. Iroegbunam ↓ · J. O'Brien ↑

Substitution 2

Valentín Castellanos

Yellow Card

▮

70'

F. Potts ↓ · T. Castellanos ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

79'

C. Wilson ↓ · Pablo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

81'

86'

⇄

C. Alcaraz ↓ · I. Gueye ↑

Substitution 3

88'

⚽

K. Dewsbury-Hall

Assist · J. Tarkowski · 1–1

C. Wilson

Assist · J. Bowen · 2–1

⚽

90'

Axel Disasi

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

Callum Wilson

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

J. Todibo ↓ · J. Bowen ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+5'

90+9'

▮

Carlos Alcaraz

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

West Ham beat Everton 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: T. Soucek (51'), K. Dewsbury-Hall (88'), C. Wilson (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.90 units (Brier 0.195).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.60	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.97	—	46%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.20	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	51%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Home Win	2.50	—	32%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.78	—	32%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Away Win	3.11	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.42	—	59%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.97	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.39	—	75%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	91%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.45	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	71%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.30	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.90u	−23% ROI