Match Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük March 8, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.98 — +13.8% better than the market.

Gazişehir Gaziantep holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home defensive setup, which could frustrate Fatih Karagümrük’s attack despite their pressing efforts. Both sides show mixed recent form, but the home side’s slightly better offensive numbers and home momentum suggest a controlled game with limited goals.

Home defensive resilience vs away offensive pressure
Close recent form but home edge in attack
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.98 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GAZ 4-2-3-1 · KAR 4-2-3-1

GAZ · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · KAR

9 Bayo

📊 Statistics

GAZ 1 – 1 KAR

48%

Possession (%)

52%

0.82

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.80

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Gaziantep FK and Fatih Karagümrük drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 6. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.60 units (Brier 0.172).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.98	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	54%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS No	2.06	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.92	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.76	—	49%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.88	—	43%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.68	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.29	—	82%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.45	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.37	—	75%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	71%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Draw	3.74	—	24%	Cashed	+2.74	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.82	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.60u	−15% ROI

Match Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Home Win at 1.98 — +13.8% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled