Match Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş February 28, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.32 — +5.2% better than the market.

Besiktas enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger attack against Kocaelispor's defense. Despite Kocaelispor's slightly better recent form and home momentum, Besiktas' offensive firepower and overall strength suggest they can control the game. The home side's defensive frailties may be exposed by Besiktas' pressing and pace.

Besiktas' superior attack vs home defense
Kocaelispor's home edge is mild but notable
Moderate pace expected, with chances for goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.32 ✓ Cashed

AI 80% Implied 76% +0.32u

+32%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KOC 4-3-3 · BES 4-2-3-1

KOC · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BES

75 Bingöl

📊 Statistics

KOC 0 – 1 BES

51%

Possession (%)

49%

0.38

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.12

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Beşiktaş won 1–0 away at Kocaelispor. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.12 to 0.38. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.96 units (Brier 0.188).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.15	—	54%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.05	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	—	48%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.91	—	49%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.80	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.60	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.32	—	80%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.55	—	54%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.50	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.34	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.34	—	71%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Draw	3.48	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.60	—	25%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.58	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.96u	−12% ROI