Match Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.54 — +4.4% better than the market.

Fenerbahce arrives at Corendon Airlines Park with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger attack and defense compared to Antalyaspor. Despite Antalyaspor's resilient home form, Fenerbahce's recent momentum and superior offensive firepower suggest they can control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle where Antalyaspor's compact defense will be tested by Fenerbahce's pressing and set-piece threats.

Fenerbahce's attacking edge challenges Antalyaspor's defense
Home side's solid form offers some resistance
Moderate pace likely with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.54 ✗ Lost

AI 68% Implied 65% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ANT 4-2-3-1 · FEN 3-1-4-2

ANT · 4-2-3-1 3-1-4-2 · FEN

22 van de Streek

📊 Statistics

ANT 2 – 2 FEN

34%

Possession (%)

66%

0.87

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

68%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Antalyaspor and Fenerbahçe drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.46 to 0.87. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 14 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.19 units (Brier 0.246).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.11	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.90	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.80	—	51%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.93	—	48%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.62	—	32%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Away Win	1.54	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.13	—	89%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.00	—	30%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.19	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	—	75%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Draw	4.40	—	21%	Cashed	+3.40	Cashed
Home Win	6.70	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.88	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.19u	+1% ROI