Match Wolves vs Tottenham April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.45 — +10.8% better than the market.

Tottenham enter this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Molineux. Wolves' defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but Tottenham's sharper attack and consistent away momentum hint at a controlled game with limited chances.

Tottenham's offensive pressure contrasts Wolves' compact defense
Home side's recent mixed form vs away side's steadier points haul
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline over wild open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.45 ✓ Cashed

AI 76% Implied 69% +0.45u

+45%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WOL 3-4-2-1 · TOT 4-2-3-1

WOL · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · TOT

9 Armstrong

Subs used · WOL

71'

Arokodare ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

85'

Hee-Chan ↑ ·

Doherty ↓

86'

Tchatchoua ↑ ·

Lima ↓

90+4'

M. Wolfe ↑ ·

Bueno ↓

Subs used · TOT

40'

Richarlison ↑ ·

Solanke ↓

46'

Tel ↑ ·

Kolo Muani ↓

62'

Palhinha ↑ ·

Bissouma ↓

63'

Bergvall ↑ ·

Simons ↓

90+1'

Dragusin ↑ ·

Gallagher ↓

📊 Statistics

WOL 0 – 1 TOT

41%

Possession (%)

59%

0.62

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.05

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 0 – 1

40'

⇄

Richarlison ↓ · D. Solanke ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

M. Tel ↓ · R. Kolo Muani ↑

Substitution 2

André

Yellow Card

▮

45+3'

Hugo Bueno

Yellow Card

▮

56'

▮

Pedro Porro

Yellow Card

62'

⇄

J. Palhinha ↓ · Y. Bissouma ↑

Substitution 3

63'

⇄

L. Bergvall ↓ · X. Simons ↑

Substitution 4

65'

▮

Rodrigo Bentancur

Yellow Card

T. Arokodare ↓ · R. Gomes ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

74'

▮

Conor Gallagher

Yellow Card

82'

⚽

J. Palhinha

Assist · Richarlison · 0–1

Hwang Hee-Chan ↓ · M. Doherty ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

85'

J. Tchatchoua ↓ · Pedro Lima ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

86'

90+1'

⇄

R. Dragusin ↓ · C. Gallagher ↑

Substitution 5

D. M. Wolfe ↓ · S. Bueno ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+4'

João Gomes

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

90+7'

▮

Kevin Danso

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Tottenham won 1–0 away at Wolves. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Palhinha (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.37 units (Brier 0.145).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.76	—	63%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.20	—	55%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS No	2.20	—	53%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.21	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.78	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.45	—	76%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.60	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.35	—	31%	Cashed	+3.35	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.24	—	84%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.38	—	63%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.51	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	90%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.60	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.45	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.37u	−8% ROI