Match Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fatih Karagümrük December 7, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.67 — +8.6% better than the market.

Genclerbirligi hosts Fatih Karagümrük in a Süper Lig clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge and better recent form. Genclerbirligi’s solid defensive shape contrasts with Fatih Karagümrük’s sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle between a compact block and pressing threat. The home side’s moderate home edge and recent wins hint at resilience, but Fatih Karagümrük’s ability to exploit defensive gaps could unlock chances.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
Fatih Karagümrük’s recent form steadier
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.67 ✗ Lost

AI 65% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-2-3-1 · KAR 4-3-1-2

GEN · 4-2-3-1 4-3-1-2 · KAR

29 Niang

📊 Statistics

GEN 3 – 0 KAR

40%

Possession (%)

60%

2.12

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.32

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Gençlerbirliği S.K. beat Fatih Karagümrük 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.12 to 0.32. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 6, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.77 units (Brier 0.189).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.03	—	52%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.84	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.38	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.10	—	43%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.33	—	35%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.66	—	35%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Away Win	3.30	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.42	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.37	—	62%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.31	—	77%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.35	—	69%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Draw	3.37	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.55	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.77u	−22% ROI

Match Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fatih Karagümrük December 7, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.67 — +8.6% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled