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Home Turkey Süper Lig Fenerbahçe — Galatasaray

Match Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray December 1, 2025 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
Home · last 5 D L W W D
Kick-off
Mon 01 Dec · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
W W L W L Away · last 5
Referee Yasin Kol, Türkiye
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 67% · book 1.73
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 48% · book 2.75
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 64% · book 1.67
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.01 – 0.23
Δ +0.78
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.58 — +8.7% better than the market.

Fenerbahce hosts Galatasaray in a Süper Lig clash where the visitors hold a quality edge, boasting a stronger overall squad and a sharper attack. Despite Fenerbahce's home momentum and slightly better recent points per game, Galatasaray's offensive threat and recent winning form suggest a lively contest. Expect a high-tempo game with both sides pushing forward.

  • Galatasaray's attacking edge challenges Fenerbahce's defense.
  • Home side's form shows resilience and set-piece potential.
  • Odds and recent trends hint at multiple goals and open play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.58 ✓ Cashed
AI 69% Implied 63% +0.58u
+58%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

FEN 11 GAL
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.01
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.23
17
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Target
2
9
Shots off Target
2
9
Shots Inside Box
2
7
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
22
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
3
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Fenerbahçe and Galatasaray drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.01 to 0.23. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 6, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.75 units (Brier 0.175).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.73 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.67 64% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.39 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.29 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.45 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.23 33% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.65 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.58 69% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Away Win 3.30 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 86% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.38 61% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.52 52% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 96% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.60 26% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.62 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.50 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.75u −16% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
FEN – GAL @ 1.58
+8.7%
Edge
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