Match Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. October 18, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.84 — +4.9% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

Besiktas are expected to dominate against Genclerbirligi, with a strong home advantage and superior form. The odds favor a home win, but the value lies in exploring other markets such as 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No'.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.84 ✗ Lost

AI 37% Implied 35% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BES 4-2-3-1 · GEN 5-4-1

BES · 4-2-3-1 5-4-1 · GEN

9 Abraham

📊 Statistics

BES 1 – 2 GEN

63%

Possession (%)

37%

1.90

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.62

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Gençlerbirliği S.K. won 2–1 away at Beşiktaş. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.90 to 0.62. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 7, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +13.25 units (Brier 0.329).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.84	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.36	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.75	—	60%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.50	—	63%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Home Win	1.29	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	11.00	—	7%	Cashed	+10.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.93	—	49%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	22.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.15	—	84%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.28	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.06	—	93%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.19	—	23%	Cashed	+3.19	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.10	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.70	—	7%	Cashed	+6.70	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+13.25u	+78% ROI