Match Crystal Palace vs Newcastle April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.40 — +6.9% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.40 ✗ Lost

AI 76% Implied 71% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CRY 3-4-3 · NEW 4-5-1

CRY · 3-4-3 4-5-1 · NEW

10 Pino

Subs used · CRY

64'

Sarr ↑ ·

Johnson ↓

64'

Wharton ↑ ·

Hughes ↓

65'

Mateta ↑ ·

S. Larsen ↓

76'

Kamada ↑ ·

Pino ↓

90+6'

Sosa ↑ ·

Mitchell ↓

Subs used · NEW

71'

Barnes ↑ ·

Gordon ↓

84'

Ramsey ↑ ·

Joelinton ↓

84'

Woltemade ↑ ·

Osula ↓

90+5'

Wissa ↑ ·

Murphy ↓

90+5'

Elanga ↑ ·

Tonali ↓

📊 Statistics

CRY 2 – 1 NEW

42%

Possession (%)

58%

2.34

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.13

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1

43'

⚽

W. Osula

Assist · L. Miley · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

I. Sarr ↓ · B. Johnson ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

A. Wharton ↓ · W. Hughes ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

J. Mateta ↓ · J. S. Larsen ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

65'

68'

▮

Malick Thiaw

Yellow Card

71'

⇄

H. Barnes ↓ · A. Gordon ↑

Substitution 1

74'

▮

Joelinton

Yellow Card

D. Kamada ↓ · Y. Pino ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

J. Mateta

Assist · T. Mitchell · 1–1

⚽

80'

84'

⇄

J. Ramsey ↓ · Joelinton ↑

Substitution 2

84'

⇄

N. Woltemade ↓ · W. Osula ↑

Substitution 3

J. Mateta (P)

Penalty · 2–1

⚽

90'

90+3'

▮

Aaron Ramsdale

Yellow Card

90+5'

⇄

Y. Wissa ↓ · J. Murphy ↑

Substitution 4

90+5'

⇄

A. Elanga ↓ · S. Tonali ↑

Substitution 5

B. Sosa ↓ · T. Mitchell ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+6'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Crystal Palace beat Newcastle 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.34 to 1.13. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 7, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: W. Osula (43'), J. Mateta (80'), J. Mateta (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.58 units (Brier 0.221).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.33	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.33	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.18	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.79	—	53%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.80	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.63	—	56%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.68	—	49%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.34	—	24%	Cashed	+1.34	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	69%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.85	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	76%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.40	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.64	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.21	—	24%	Cashed	+2.21	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.58u	−15% ROI