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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Heracles — Groningen

Predictions Heracles vs Groningen May 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Heracles
Heracles
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 12:30
1:2
Full-time
Groningen
Groningen
L L W W L Away · last 5
Referee R. Martens
Home Win · HER
15%
Best 5.15
Draw
20%
Best 4.79
Away Win · GRO
65%
Best 1.57
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.71
book 3.10 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 37% · EV +14.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (63%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.9%
Odds 4.78
Show model details
Implied probability 20.9%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 14.9%
Odds 4.78
Show model details
Implied probability 20.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 37%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 17%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 83.1%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.77
Show model details
Implied probability 36.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 14.9%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 34.7%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
HER – GRO @ 3.10
+14.5%
Edge
Forecast →