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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Telstar — Sparta Rotterdam

Predictions Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam April 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Telstar
Telstar
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Wed 22 Apr · 18:00
4:1
Full-time
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
L L D L L Away · last 5
BUKO Stadion · Velsen-Zuid Referee Erwin Blank, Netherlands
Home Win · STO
31%
Best 2.22
Draw
25%
Best 3.65
Away Win · SPA
44%
Best 2.93
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.63
Fair odds
2.32
book 2.63 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 43% · EV +13.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (57%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 31.3%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.6%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.5%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 6.1%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.5%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 31.3%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
STO – SPA @ 2.63
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →