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Home Netherlands Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven — PEC Zwolle

Predictions PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle April 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Thu 23 Apr · 19:00
6:1
Full-time
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
D L W L L Away · last 5
Philips Stadion · Eindhoven Referee Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands
Home Win · PSV
81%
Best 1.36
Draw
14%
Best 6.14
Away Win · ZWO
5%
Best 7.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 8.00
Fair odds
7.05
book 8.00 · +13.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 14% · EV +13.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (81%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 14.2%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 80.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 5.2%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 80.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5.2%
Odds 8.10
Show model details
Implied probability 12.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 19.4%
Odds 4.70
Show model details
Implied probability 21.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
PSV – ZWO @ 8.00
+13.5%
Edge
Forecast →