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Home Netherlands Eredivisie NAC Breda — Sparta Rotterdam

Predictions NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam April 5, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
Home · last 5 D L L W D
Kick-off
Sun 05 Apr · 14:45
0:0
Full-time
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
L L D L L Away · last 5
Rat Verlegh Stadion · Breda Referee Robin Hensgens, Netherlands
Home Win · BRE
31%
Best 2.37
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · SPA
43%
Best 2.89
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.75
book 4.10 · +9.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +9.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (73%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 30.6%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.82
Show model details
Implied probability 35.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 51.8%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.6%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.4%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 46.8%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 30.6%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BRE – SPA @ 4.10
+9.2%
Edge
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