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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Ajax — Twente

Predictions Ajax vs Twente April 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Ajax
Ajax
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Twente
Twente
W D D W L Away · last 5
Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam Referee Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
Home Win · AJA
51%
Best 2.30
Draw
24%
Best 3.65
Away Win · TWE
26%
Best 2.85
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.42
Fair odds
2.23
book 2.42 · +8.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +8.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (55%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 25.9%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 34.2%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15.3%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.3%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 34.3%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 25.9%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
AJA – TWE @ 2.42
+8.5%
Edge
Forecast →