Match Feyenoord vs Ajax March 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.07 — +6.3% better than the market.

Feyenoord holds a slight edge at De Kuip, buoyed by stronger recent form and a home advantage that could tip the balance in this classic Eredivisie clash. Their attacking prowess faces a resilient Ajax defense, setting up a tactical battle where home momentum and sharper finishing may prove decisive.

Feyenoord's home edge and better recent results suggest control.
Ajax's compact defense challenges Feyenoord's offense.
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over wild open spaces.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.07 ✗ Lost

AI 51% Implied 48% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FEY 4-3-3 · AJA 4-3-3

FEY · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · AJA

19 Sterling

📊 Statistics

FEY 1 – 1 AJA

53%

Possession (%)

47%

1.37

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.21

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Feyenoord and Ajax drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.37 to 0.21. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 5, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.84 units (Brier 0.183).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.07	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.30	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.72	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.67	—	56%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.63	—	35%	Cashed	+1.63	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.81	—	49%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.51	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.37	—	74%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.53	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.48	—	65%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.56	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.17	—	85%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.00	—	23%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.34	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.84u	−11% ROI