P
Prognosist
P
Home Netherlands Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar — Heracles

Predictions AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles March 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 W D D D D
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 13:30
4:0
Full-time
Heracles
Heracles
L L L L L Away · last 5
AFAS Stadion · Alkmaar Referee R. Hensgens
Home Win · ALK
71%
Best 1.33
Draw
20%
Best 5.25
Away Win · HER
10%
Best 7.80
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.75
Fair odds
5.44
book 5.75 · +5.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 18% · EV +5.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (82%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.5%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 9.7%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 62%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 38%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.4%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.6%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.4%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 45.8%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 9.7%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90.3%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ALK – HER @ 5.75
+5.7%
Edge
Forecast →